تحلیل جفت ارزها - 14th June سری دوم

PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 14 June 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.4365

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.4365 with targets @ 1.45 & 1.4555 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.4365 look for further downside with 1.432 & 1.425 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains on the upside and is challenging its resistance, the RSI is well directed.
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GBP/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.635

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.635 with targets @ 1.645 & 1.6475 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.635 look for further downside with 1.6315 & 1.628 as targets.

Comment: The pair has struck against its resistance and is pulling back on its new support, the RSI is mixed to bullish.
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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 80.5

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 80.5 with targets @ 80.1 & 80 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 80.5 look for further upside with 80.7 & 80.9 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains under pressure and is challenging its support.
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AUD/USD intraday: rebound.
Pivot: 1.0575

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.0575 with targets @ 1.07 & 1.0755 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.0575 look for further downside with 1.0525 & 1.0475 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken above its bearish channel upper boundary and remains on the upside.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1530.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1530 with 1512 & 1505 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1530 will open the way to 1537 & 1545.

Comment: The RSI lacks upward momentum.
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Crude Oil (Jul 11) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 99.28

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 99.28 with targets @ 96.15 & 95.55.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 99.28 will call for a rebound towards 100.45 & 100.9.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
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