تحلیل جفت ارزها - 16th June سری دوم

PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 16 June 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1.4215

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.4215 with targets @ 1.4065 & 1.4025 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.4215 look for further upside with 1.4265 & 1.4325 as targets.

Comment: The pair has struck against its new resistance and should face further weakness.
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GBP/USD intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1.6175

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.6175 with targets @ 1.606 & 1.602 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.6175 look for further upside with 1.6225 & 1.6285 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is badly directed, the pair has broken below its support and should face further down move.
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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 80.9

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 80.9 with targets @ 80.35 & 80.25 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 80.9 look for further upside with 81.1 & 81.35 as targets.

Comment: The RSI has broken below a rising trend line, the pair remains under pressure.
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AUD/USD intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1.0595

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.0595 with targets @ 1.049 & 1.0465 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.0595 look for further upside with 1.0625 & 1.065 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1535.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1535 with targets @ 1520 & 1514.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1535 will open the way to 1545 & 1550.

Comment: The price has struck against the 50% retracement level at 1532.4. The RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.
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Crude Oil (Aug 11) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 97.20

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 97.2 with 94.15 & 91.75 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 97.2 will call for 98.71 & 100.1.

Comment: A bearish flag is taking place but not confirmed yet.
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