تحلیل جفت ارزها - 4th July سری دوم

PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 04 July 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.4475

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.4475 with targets @ 1.458 & 1.46 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.4475 look for further downside with 1.4435 & 1.4375 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish, the pair stands above its support and should post a rebound.
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GBP/USD intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1.6065

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.6065 with targets @ 1.614 & 1.617 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.6065 look for further downside with 1.6025 & 1.599 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken above its declining trend line and remains on the upside.
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USD/JPY intraday: caution.
Pivot: 80.55

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 80.55 with targets @ 80.95 & 81.2 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 80.55 look for further downside with 80.4 & 80.25 as targets.

Comment: The pair is challenging its support, the RSI is mixed and calls for caution.
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AUD/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.0675

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.0675 with targets @ 1.08 & 1.0845 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.0675 look for further downside with 1.065 & 1.0625 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: key ST resistance at 1497.5
Pivot: 1497.50

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1497.5 with targets @ 1490 & 1478.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1497.5 will open the way to 1508 & 1515.

Comment: The immediate trend remains down but the momentum is weak.
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Crude Oil (Aug 11) intraday: bullish bias above 93.45
Pivot: 93.45

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 93.45 with targets @ 95.75 & 97.3.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 93.45 will open the way to 92.7 & 92.

Comment: The price remains on the upside and technical indicators do not post any reversal sign
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