تحلیل جفت ارزها - 11th July

PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 11 July 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.4270.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.426 with targets @ 1.416 & 1.4125.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.427 will call for 1.431 & 1.4375.

Comment: The pair is under pressure and is approaching its next support.

Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range
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GBP/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.6050.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.604 with 1.595 & 1.591 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.605 will call for a rebound towards 1.608 & 1.61.

Comment: The pair and its intraday RSI should face further weaknesses.
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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 80.90.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 80.85 with 80.5 & 80.3 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 80.9 will call for a rebound towards 81.15 & 81.45.

Comment: The pair is posting a rebound but stands below its resistance.
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AUD/USD intraday: consolidation.
Pivot: 1.075

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.075 with targets @ 1.065 & 1.063 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.075 look for further upside with 1.079 & 1.083 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1538.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1545 with targets @ 1549 & 1558.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1538 will open the way to 1532 & 1525.

Comment: A continuation pattern is confirmed and advocates for further upside.
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Crude Oil (Aug 11) intraday: rebound in sight.
Pivot: 94.52

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 94.52 with targets @ 96.5 & 97.9.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 94.52 will call for a slide towards 93.4 & 92.3.

Comment: The RSI is posting a bullish divergence (not confirmed yet).
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