تحلیل جفت ارزها - 14th July

PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 14 July 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.4110.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.412 with targets @ 1.4285 & 1.4375.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.411 will call for 1.405 & 1.3975.

Comment: The pair remains on the upside and is challenging its resistance, the RSI is mixed to bullish.

Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range
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GBP/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.6075.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.6085 with 1.62 & 1.6225 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.6075 will call for a slide towards 1.603 & 1.6.

Comment: The pair is facing a pull back ahead of further advance.
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USD/JPY intraday: capped by a negative trend line.
Pivot: 79.15.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 79.1 with 78.5 & 78.2 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 79.15 will call for a rebound towards 79.5 & 79.9.

Comment: The pair remains capped by a declining trend line.
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AUD/USD intraday: towards 1.0855.
Pivot: 1.0675

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.0675 with targets @ 1.0855 & 1.089 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.0675 look for further downside with 1.0625 & 1.0575 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1572.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1572 with 1593 & 1605 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1572 will open the way to 1563 & 1554.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
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Crude Oil (Aug 11) intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 96.50

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 96.5 with 98.2 & 98.95 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 96.5 will open the way to 95.9 & 95.15.

Comment: The immediate trend remains down but the momentum is weak. Support threshold at 96.5.
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