تحلیل جفت ارزها - 26th July

PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical Analysis, 26 July 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: towards 1.458.
Pivot: 1.4435

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.4435 with targets @ 1.4555 & 1.458 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.4435 look for further downside with 1.439 & 1.4325 as targets.

Comment: the RSI broke above a bearish trend line.
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GBP/USD intraday: bullish bias above 1.633.
Pivot: 1.633

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.633 with targets @ 1.643 & 1.65 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.633 look for further downside with 1.6255 & 1.6205 as targets.

Comment: the RSI is well directed.
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USD/JPY intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 78.4

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 78.4 with targets @ 77.85 & 77.65 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 78.4 look for further upside with 78.7 & 79.05 as targets.

Comment: the pair remains in a bearish channel.
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AUD/USD intraday: look for 1.096.
Pivot: 1.088

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.088 with targets @ 1.096 & 1.1 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.088 look for further downside with 1.084 & 1.0825 as targets.

Comment: the RSI broke above a declining trend line.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: bullish bias above 1600
Pivot: 1600.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1600 with 1623 & 1635 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1600 will call for a slide towards 1593 & 1583.

Comment: the price is challenging its support threshold at 1610, caution.
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Crude Oil (Sep 11) intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 98.40

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 98.4 with 100 & 100.6 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 98.4 will open the way to 97.9 & 97.2.

Comment: the price holds above its support level at 98.4.
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