تحلیل جفت ارزها - 29th July

PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 29 July 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: bullish bias above 1.425.
Pivot: 1.425

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.425 with targets @ 1.4395 & 1.443 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.425 look for further downside with 1.419 & 1.4105 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a rising trend line.
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GBP/USD intraday: supported by a rising trend line.
Pivot: 1.626

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.626 with targets @ 1.6385 & 1.6435 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.626 look for further downside with 1.619 & 1.6125 as targets.

Comment: The pair is expected to bounce off its rising trend line.
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USD/JPY intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 77.9

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 77.9 with targets @ 77.3 & 77.15 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 77.9 look for further upside with 78.15 & 78.4 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains in a bearish channel.
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AUD/USD intraday: bullish bias above 1.0925.
Pivot: 1.0925

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.0925 with targets @ 1.101 & 1.1085 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.0925 look for further downside with 1.088 & 1.079 as targets.

Comment: The RSI has just landed on a support around 30% and is reversing up.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: towards 1632
Pivot: 1602.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1602 with 1621 & 1632 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1602 will call for a slide towards 1593 & 1583.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a bullish trend line.
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Crude Oil (Sep 11) intraday: key ST resistance at 98.1
Pivot: 98.10

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 98.1 with 96.5 & 96 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 98.1 will call for 98.55 & 99.3.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.

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