تحلیل جفت ارزها - 1st Aug سری دوم

PRE US OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 01 AUGUST 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGOLDCRUDE OIL
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD INTRADAY: THE UPSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 1.435

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.435 with targets @ 1.4465 & 1.454 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.435 look for further downside with 1.4275 & 1.4225 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a rising trend line, the pair is on the upside and is breaking above its resistance.
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GBP/USD INTRADAY: THE UPSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 1.6375

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.6375 with targets @ 1.6475 & 1.6510 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.6375 look for further downside with 1.632 & 1.626 as targets.

Comment: The pair is rebounding on its support as the RSI is turning up.
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USD/JPY INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE.
Pivot: 77.75

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 77.75 with targets @ 77.25 & 77 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 77.75 look for further upside with 78 & 78.3 as targets.

Comment: The pair is under pressure and should face further weakness.
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AUD/USD INTRADAY: BULLISH BIAS ABOVE 1.093.
Pivot: 1.093

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.093 with targets @ 1.1075 & 1.115 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.093 look for further downside with 1.088 & 1.079 as targets.

Comment: The RSI broke above a declining trend line.
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GOLD (SPOT) INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 1620.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1620 with targets @ 1607 & 1600.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1620 will call for a rebound towards 1627 & 1632.

Comment: The break below 1620 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 1607.
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CRUDE OIL (SEP 11) INTRADAY: REBOUND IN SIGHT.
Pivot: 96.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 96 with targets @ 98 & 99.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 96 will open the way to 95 & 94.

Comment: The RSI broke above a bearish trend line.

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