تحلیل جفت ارزها - 03rd Aug سری دوم

PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 03 August 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1.425

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.425 with targets @ 1.438 & 1.445 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.425 look for further downside with 1.42 & 1.415 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken above its resistance and should post further advance as the RSI is well directed.
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GBP/USD intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1.633

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.633 with targets @ 1.643 & 1.6475 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.633 look for further downside with 1.6295 & 1.625 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken above its resistance and should post further advance as the RSI is well directed.
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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 77.4

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 77.4 with targets @ 76.95 & 76.7 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 77.4 look for further upside with 77.65 & 78.05 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance, the RSI is mixed to bearish.
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AUD/USD intraday: caution.
Pivot: 1.079

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.079 with targets @ 1.0705 & 1.068 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.079 look for further upside with 1.0815 & 1.088 as targets.

Comment: The pair is challenging its resistance, the RSI calls for caution.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1651.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1651 with 1673 & 1687 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1651 will call for 1639 & 1633.5.

Comment: The immediate trend remains up and the momentum is strong.
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Crude Oil (Sep 11) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 95.45

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 95.45 with 92.5 & 91.95 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 95.45 will open the way to 96.5 & 97.3.

Comment: The break below 95.45 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 92.5.
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