تحلیل جفت ارزها - 04th August

PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 04 August 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: rebound expected.
Pivot: 1.4250.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.426 with targets @ 1.435 & 1.438.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.425 will call for 1.42 & 1.415.

Comment: The pair stands above its new support (50% Fibonacci retracemnet) and should post a rebound.

Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range
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GBP/USD intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1.6400.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.639 with targets @ 1.633 & 1.6295.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.64 will call for 1.644 & 1.6475.

Comment: The RSI has broken below a rising trend line, the pair is under pressure.
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USD/JPY intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 78.40.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 78.45 with 79.5 & 79.85 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 78.4 will call for a slide towards 78 & 77.6.

Comment: The pair and its intraday RSI have broken above their declining trend lines.
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AUD/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.0725

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.0725 with targets @ 1.065 & 1.059 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.0725 look for further upside with 1.079 & 1.085 as targets.

Comment: The pair is on the downside and is challenging its support.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: turning down.
Pivot: 1673.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1673 with targets @ 1651 & 1644.5.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1673 will call for a rebound towards 1687 & 1696.

Comment: The RSI broke below a bullish trend line.
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Crude Oil (Sep 11) intraday: rebound expected.
Pivot: 90.15

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 90.15 with targets @ 92.85 & 93.75.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 90.15 will call for 89.15 & 88.6.

Comment: A Falling Wedge is shaping and is expected to trigger a recovery. In addition, the 90.15 key support maintains an intraday bullish bias.

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