تحلیل جفت ارزها - 05th Aug

PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical Analysis, 05 August 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.4170.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.416 with 1.406 & 1.4 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.417 will call for 1.4235 & 1.4285.

Comment: the pair is posting a rebound but stands below its resistance.

Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range
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GBP/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.6325.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.6315 with 1.6225 & 1.619 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.6325 will call for a rebound towards 1.6375 & 1.64.

Comment: the pair is under pressure and is challenging its support.
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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 79.25.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 79.2 with targets @ 78.4 & 78.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 79.25 will call for a rebound towards 79.75 & 80.15.

Comment: the pair is under pressure and is challenging its intermediary support.
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AUD/USD intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1.055

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.055 with targets @ 1.0395 & 1.03 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.055 look for further upside with 1.0625 & 1.068 as targets.

Comment: the pair stands below its new resistance and remains under pressure.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1666.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1666 with 1641 & 1630 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1666 will open the way to 1672 & 1682.

Comment: the upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1666.
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Crude Oil (Sep 11) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 89.75

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 89.75 with targets @ 84.4 & 83.35.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 89.75 will call for 91.25 & 92.85.

Comment: the RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.

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