تحلیل جفت ارزها - 10th August

PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical Analysis, 10 August 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1.431

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.431 with targets @ 1.44 & 1.4455 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.431 look for further downside with 1.4275 & 1.4225 as targets.

Comment: the pair has validated a bullish flag and should post further advance.
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GBP/USD intraday: caution.
Pivot: 1.6225

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.6225 with targets @ 1.6325 & 1.6375 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.6225 look for further downside with 1.6175 & 1.6120 as targets.

Comment: the pair is pulling back on its support, the RSI calls for caution.
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USD/JPY intraday: capped by a negative trend line.
Pivot: 77.05

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 77.05 with targets @ 76.3 & 76 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 77.05 look for further upside with 77.35 & 77.65 as targets.

Comment: the pair has struck against its MT declining trend line and remains under pressure.
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AUD/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.025

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.025 with targets @ 1.0405 & 1.05 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.025 look for further downside with 1.01 & 0.993 as targets.

Comment: the pair is on the upside and is challenging its resistance.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 1719.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1719 with targets @ 1780 & 1807.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1719 will call for a slide towards 1692 & 1670.

Comment: a support base at 1719 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
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Crude Oil (Sep 11) intraday: aim @ 75.7
Pivot: 83.30

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 83.3 with 77.6 & 75.7 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 83.3 will call for a rebound towards 85 & 87.

Comment: the price is capped by a declining trend line.
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