تحلیل جفت ارزها - 1st Sep


PRE US OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 01 SEPTEMBER 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGOLDCRUDE OIL
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE.
Pivot: 1.435

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.435 with targets @ 1.425 & 1.422 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.435 look for further upside with 1.4385 & 1.442 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a MT declining trend line, the pair remains under pressure and is approaching its previous low.
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GBP/USD INTRADAY: CAPPED BY A NEGATIVE TREND LINE.
Pivot: 1.6255

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.6255 with targets @ 1.618 & 1.6135 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.6255 look for further upside with 1.6295 & 1.633 as targets.

Comment: The pair and its intraday RSI are both capped by declining trend lines.
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USD/JPY INTRADAY: REBOUND.
Pivot: 76.75

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 76.75 with targets @ 77.2 & 77.35 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 76.75 look for further downside with 76.6 & 76.45 as targets.

Comment: The pair is rebounding as the RSI is well directed.
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AUD/USD INTRADAY: BULLISH BIAS ABOVE 1.066.
Pivot: 1.066

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.066 with targets @ 1.075 & 1.0785 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.066 look for further downside with 1.061 & 1.0545 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 1.066 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
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GOLD (SPOT) INTRADAY: FURTHER UPSIDE.
Pivot: 1810.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1810 with targets @ 1840 & 1855.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1810 will call for a slide towards 1770 & 1745.

Comment: Intraday support around 1810
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CRUDE OIL (OCT 11) INTRADAY: BULLISH BIAS ABOVE 87.65
Pivot: 87.65

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 87.65 with 89.5 & 90.2 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 87.65 will open the way to 86.5 & 85.

Comment: Intraday support around 87.65

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