تحلیل جفت ارزها - 17th Oct
PRE US OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 17 OCTOBER 2011 EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD GOLD CRUDE OIL Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out. EUR/USD INTRADAY: SUPPORTED BY A RISING TREND LINE. Pivot: 1.38
Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.38 with targets @ 1.39 & 1.394 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.38 look for further downside with 1.375 & 1.3725 as targets.
Comment: the pair has struck against its resistance and is pulling back on its rising trend line.
NEXT » GBP/USD INTRADAY: TURNING DOWN. Pivot: 1.5825
Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.5825 with targets @ 1.572 & 1.567 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.5825 look for further upside with 1.5855 & 1.591 as targets.
Comment: the pair is breaking below its MT rising trend line and should face further weakness.
« PREVIOUS | NEXT » USD/JPY INTRADAY: THE UPSIDE PREVAILS. Pivot: 77
Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 77 with targets @ 77.5 & 77.7 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 77 look for further downside with 76.75 & 76.6 as targets.
Comment: the pair has rebounded on its support and is challenging its resistance.
« PREVIOUS | NEXT » AUD/USD INTRADAY: BULLISH BIAS ABOVE 1.02. Pivot: 1.02
Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.02 with targets @ 1.039 & 1.053 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.02 look for further downside with 1.01 & 1.002 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is supported by a rising trend line.
« PREVIOUS | NEXT » GOLD (SPOT) INTRADAY: FURTHER UPSIDE. Pivot: 1670.00
Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1670 with 1715 & 1737 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1670 will call for a slide towards 1661 & 1654.
Comment: the price remains in a bullish channel.
« PREVIOUS | NEXT » CRUDE OIL (DEC 11) INTRADAY: THE BIAS REMAINS BULLISH. Pivot: 86.40
Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 86.4 with 88.85 & 89.85 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 86.4 will open the way to 85.5 & 85.
Comment: the break above 86.4 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 88.85.
تحلیل جفت ارزها - 13th Oct
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Daily Forex Brief 12th October
Daily Forex Brief It seems that Slovakia has chosen to extend its day in the sun, its parliament having rejected the EFSF expansion in yesterday's vote and the coalition government having collapsed in the process. But there's little need to panic, not least because the euro project has a long history of bumps along the road e.g. France and the rejection of the single currency together with Ireland's initial rejection of the Lisbon Treaty. These things have a habit of working themselves out, with Slovakia set to vote again later this week. As we mentioned yesterday, it's more the point that Slovakia can't afford not to accept the EFSF increase, given it remains one of the poorer nations within the EU. In subsequent comments, German Chancellor Merkel remains certain that the EFSF increase will be passed by the October 23rdEU summit. Given the need to put together a credible bank recapitalisation plan, then the eurozone needs the Slovakia issues to be resolved this week, otherwise it will be caught in a sideshow to approve a now outdated proposal. Also in today's Daily Forex Brief:
London: Wednesday 12th October 2011