تحلیل جفت ارزها - 26th Sep سری دوم

PRE US OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 26 SEPTEMBER 2011

EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD GOLD CRUDE OIL

Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.

EUR/USD INTRADAY: CAUTION. Pivot: 1.3485 Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.3485 with targets @ 1.336 & 1.332 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 1.3485 look for further upside with 1.3575 & 1.363 as targets. Comment: The pair is posting a rebound but stands below its resistance, the RSI lacks upward momentum. NEXT » GBP/USD INTRADAY: REBOUND. Pivot: 1.542 Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.542 with targets @ 1.5525 & 1.5575 in extension. Alternative scenario: Below 1.542 look for further downside with 1.537 & 1.5325 as targets. Comment: The pair is on the upside and is breaking above its resistance as the RSI has broken above its declining trend line. « PREVIOUS | NEXT » USD/JPY INTRADAY: CONSOLIDATION. Pivot: 76.6 Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 76.6 with targets @ 76.1 & 75.95 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 76.6 look for further upside with 76.9 & 77.1 as targets. Comment: The pair is posting a rebound but stands below its resistance, the RSI is mixed to bearish. « PREVIOUS | NEXT » AUD/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE. Pivot: 0.986 Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.986 with targets @ 0.962 & 0.9545 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 0.986 look for further upside with 0.998 & 1.015 as targets. Comment: The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 0.986. « PREVIOUS | NEXT » GOLD (SPOT) INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS. Pivot: 1632.00 Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1632 with targets @ 1592 & 1565. Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1632 will call for a rebound towards 1665 & 1690. Comment: The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 1632. « PREVIOUS | NEXT » CRUDE OIL (NOV 11) INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS. Pivot: 80.00 Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 80 with targets @ 77.5 & 76.6. Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 80 will open the way to 80.84 & 81.7. Comment: The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 80.

Daily Forex Brief 26th September

Daily Forex Brief London: Monday 26th September 2011

Europe planning for the inevitable All the indications are that European leaders are moving towards what markets have viewed as inevitable for months, namely a write-down on Greek government debt. This is the chatter emerging from the IMF meeting in Washington. Reports suggest that even the Greek finance minister sees a 50% write-down as the best of the available options. There is also talk of a further enhancement of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), boosting it from the proposed EUR 440bln to around EUR 2trln, either via loans from the ECB, guarantees or a combination thereof. On one level, these developments are positive. However, once again the measures are merely catching up with what has been market thinking for the past several months (Greek default, greater EFSF firepower) and what's not changed, are the crippled institutional and leadership arrangements of the eurozone. This has been one of the main barriers to resolving the eurozone crisis and may yet cripple these new initiatives. Perhaps wisely, the euro is not jumping for joy in early trading today.

تحلیل جفت ارزها - 26th Sep

PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 26 SEPTEMBER 2011

EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD GOLD CRUDE OIL

Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.

EUR/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE. Pivot: 1.3475. Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.3465 with 1.3385 & 1.332 in sight. Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1.3475 will open the way to 1.3575 & 1.363. Comment: The pair remains under pressure and is approaching its previous low. Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish NEXT » GBP/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE. Pivot: 1.5500. Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.549 with 1.537 & 1.5325 in sight. Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1.55 will open the way to 1.5575 & 1.563. Comment: The RSI is capped by a declining trend line, the pair stands below its resistance and should face a weakness. « PREVIOUS | NEXT » USD/JPY INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE. Pivot: 76.70. Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 76.65 with 76.1 & 75.95 in sight. Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 76.7 will open the way to 76.9 & 77.1. Comment: The pair remains under pressure and is approaching its support. « PREVIOUS | NEXT » AUD/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE. Pivot: 0.987 Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.987 with targets @ 0.965 & 0.9545 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 0.987 look for further upside with 0.998 & 1.015 as targets. Comment: The RSI broke below a rising trend line. « PREVIOUS | NEXT » GOLD (SPOT) INTRADAY: KEY ST RESISTANCE AT 1645 Pivot: 1645.00 Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1645 with 1577 & 1545 in sight. Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1645 will open the way to 1665 & 1690. Comment: The immediate trend remains down and the momentum is strong. « PREVIOUS | NEXT » CRUDE OIL (NOV 11) INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE. Pivot: 80.85 Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 80.85 with targets @ 77.5 & 76.6. Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 80.85 will call for a rebound towards 81.7 & 83.4. Comment: The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.