تحلیل جفت ارزها - 12th Aug سری دوم

PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 12 August 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: rebound.
Pivot: 1.415

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.415 with targets @ 1.431 & 1.4375 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.415 look for further downside with 1.41 & 1.4055 as targets.

Comment: The pair is rebounding on its support and should post further advance as the RSI is well directed.
Next »
GBP/USD intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1.62

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.62 with targets @ 1.6325 & 1.635 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.62 look for further downside with 1.615 & 1.611 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a rising trend line, the pair has broken above its resistance and should post further up move.
« Previous | Next »
USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 77.2

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 77.2 with targets @ 76.3 & 76 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 77.2 look for further upside with 77.75 & 78.4 as targets.

Comment: The pair has struck against its resistance and should face further weakness as the RSI is badly directed.
« Previous | Next »
AUD/USD intraday: intraday support around 1.023.
Pivot: 1.023

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.023 with targets @ 1.04 & 1.05 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.023 look for further downside with 1.011 & 0.995 as targets.

Comment: The pair has rebounded on its support and should post furter up move.
« Previous | Next »
GOLD (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1780.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1780 with 1720 & 1700 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1780 will call for a rebound towards 1815 & 1832.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a declining trend line.
« Previous | Next »
Crude Oil (Sep 11) intraday: bullish bias above 82.85
Pivot: 82.85

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 82.85 with 87.3 & 90.25 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 82.85 will call for a slide towards 80.7 & 79.5.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a rising trend line.

Daily Forex Brief 12th August

Daily Forex Brief
London: Friday 12th August 2011


Trying to keep calm and carry on

We've seen exceptional volatility this week. The Swiss franc fell over 5% vs. the euro this week, the biggest move since the launch of the single currency. Despite this, the Swissie is still up vs. the euro on the week. In equities, we've seen 500+ moves in the Dow for the past few days, something not seen in the history of the index. It's not only about news, it's about diminished liquidity during the summer months which is causing price swings way beyond the norm. Four European countries have introduced bans on equity short-selling. Overall, in this environment it pays not to over analyse the extent of the price moves we are seeing.

Also in today's Daily Forex Brief:

  • French GDP disappoints
  • Making a Swiss exit
  • The confusion in ECB policy

تحلیل جفت ارزها - 12th August

PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 12 August 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: rebound expected.
Pivot: 1.4125.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.4135 with 1.431 & 1.4375 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.4125 will call for 1.4085 & 1.4055.

Comment: The pair is pulling back on its support ahead of a rebound, the RSI is mixed to bullish.

Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range
Next »
GBP/USD intraday: rebound expected.
Pivot: 1.6175.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.6185 with 1.625 & 1.63 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.6175 will call for a slide towards 1.611 & 1.605.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a rising trend line, the pair should post a rebound on its support.
« Previous | Next »
USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 77.20.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 77.15 with 76.3 & 76 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 77.2 will call for a rebound towards 77.75 & 78.4.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.
« Previous | Next »
AUD/USD intraday: intraday support around 1.023.
Pivot: 1.023

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.023 with targets @ 1.04 & 1.05 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.023 look for further downside with 1.011 & 0.995 as targets.

Comment: The pair is pulling back on its support ahead of a rebound.
« Previous | Next »
GOLD (Spot) intraday: key ST resistance at 1780
Pivot: 1780.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1780 with targets @ 1720 & 1700.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1780 will open the way to 1815 & 1832.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a declining trend line.
« Previous | Next »
Crude Oil (Sep 11) intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 82.30

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 82.3 with targets @ 87.3 & 90.25.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 82.3 will open the way to 80.7 & 79.5.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a rising trend line.