تحلیل جفت ارزها - 29th June سری دوم

PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 29 June 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: bounce.
Pivot: 1.4325

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.4325 with targets @ 1.4425 & 1.4455 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.4325 look for further downside with 1.4275 & 1.4235 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken above its resistance and should post further advance as the RSI remains supported by a rising trend line.
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GBP/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.596

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.596 with targets @ 1.6045 & 1.6075 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.596 look for further downside with 1.5915 & 1.5885 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands above its support, the RSI is mixed to bullish.
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USD/JPY intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 80.85

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 80.85 with targets @ 81.3 & 81.55 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 80.85 look for further downside with 80.7 & 80.5 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains on the upside as the RSI is supported by a rising trend line.
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AUD/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.0545

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.0545 with targets @ 1.062 & 1.065 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.0545 look for further downside with 1.05 & 1.0475 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken above its channel upper boundary and remains on the upside.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1497.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1497 with 1511 & 1518 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1497 will open the way to 1490 & 1479.5.

Comment: Moving averages are turning up and should offer support on any downward attempt.
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Crude Oil (Aug 11) intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 91.25

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 91.25 with 94.45 & 95.75 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 91.25 will call for a slide towards 89.9 & 88.7.

Comment: Intraday support area at 92.3

Daily Forex Brief 29th jun

Daily Forex Brief
London: Wednesday 29th June 2011


Trichet remains strongly vigilant

Despite flagging up last week that Europe's sovereign debt crisis represents a serious risk to the eurozone, it appears that the European Central Bank's determination to hike rates remains unwavering. Trichet yesterday reiterated that the ECB remains in 'strong vigilance mode' implying that a rate hike next week remains very likely. Given the considerable tightening of financial conditions in Europe over recent weeks, exemplified by a very considerable retrenchment in credit provision by banks in highly-indebted countries such as Spain and Italy not to mention Greece and Portugal, their collective determination to continue to tighten monetary policy seems remarkable. Should the ECB proceed with this next move, they may come to regard it as one of their greatest policy mistakes.

Also in today's Daily Forex Brief:

  • The tense wait before the Greek vote
  • Germany wants a Plan B for Greece
  • More slippage for the pound
  • Swiss industry increasingly uncomfortable with currency strength

تحلیل جفت ارزها - 29th June

PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 29 June 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGoldCrude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.4325.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1.4325 with 1.44 & 1.4455 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.4325 will call for a slide towards 1.4275 & 1.4235.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a rising trend line, the pair stands above its support and remains on the upside.

Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Range
Next »
GBP/USD intraday: intraday support around 1.596
Pivot: 1.5960.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1.596 with 1.6045 & 1.6075 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.596 will call for 1.5915 & 1.5885.

Comment: The pair stands above its support but lacks upward momentum.
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USD/JPY intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 80.85.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 80.85 with 81.3 & 81.55 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 80.85 will call for a slide towards 80.7 & 80.5.

Comment: The pair stands above its support and remains on the upside.
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AUD/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.05

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.05 with targets @ 1.0575 & 1.0605 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.05 look for further downside with 1.0475 & 1.0435 as targets.

Comment: The pair is breaking above its channel upper boundary and remains on the upside.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 1490.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1490 with 1511 & 1518 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1490 will open the way to 1479.5 & 1462.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a bullish trend line. Moving averages are heading up.
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Crude Oil (Aug 11) intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 89.90

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 89.9 with 94.45 & 95.75 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 89.9 will open the way to 88.7 & 87.

Comment: The RSI is bullish and calls for further advance.