تحلیل جفت ارزها - 03rd Oct


PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 03 OCTOBER 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGOLDCRUDE OIL
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 1.3410.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.34 with 1.3285 & 1.326 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.341 will call for a rebound towards 1.3465 & 1.3525.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a declining trend line, the pair has broken below its previous low and remains under pressure.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish
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GBP/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE.
Pivot: 1.5600.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.559 with 1.549 & 1.5445 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.56 will call for a rebound towards 1.566 & 1.571.

Comment: The pair has broken below its support and remains under pressure.
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USD/JPY INTRADAY: THE UPSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 76.75.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 76.75 with 77.3 & 77.6 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 76.75 will open the way to 76.5 & 76.3.

Comment: The pair stands above its new support and remains on the upside.
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AUD/USD INTRADAY: KEY ST RESISTANCE AT 0.976.
Pivot: 0.976

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.976 with targets @ 0.9575 & 0.95 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.976 look for further upside with 0.981 & 0.9875 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a declining trend line.
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GOLD (SPOT) INTRADAY: AIM @ 1590
Pivot: 1645.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1645 with 1590 & 1555 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1645 will open the way to 1670 & 1690.

Comment: The price is challenging a rising trend line, the RSI is mixed to bearish.
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CRUDE OIL (NOV 11) INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 79.70

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 79.7 with targets @ 77.5 & 76.5.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 79.7 will open the way to 81.5 & 84.

Comment: The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 79.7.

تحلیل جفت ارزها - 30th Sep


PRE US OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 29 SEPTEMBER 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGOLDCRUDE OIL
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE.
Pivot: 1.369

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.369 with targets @ 1.357 & 1.3515 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.369 look for further upside with 1.375 & 1.38 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.
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GBP/USD INTRADAY: FURTHER ADVANCE.
Pivot: 1.561

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.561 with targets @ 1.57 & 1.575 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.561 look for further downside with 1.5575 & 1.553 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken above a declining trend line and is challenging its resistance.
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USD/JPY INTRADAY: CONSOLIDATION.
Pivot: 76.7

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 76.7 with targets @ 76.25 & 76.1 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 76.7 look for further upside with 76.9 & 77.1 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.
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AUD/USD INTRADAY: CAUTION.
Pivot: 0.989

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.989 with targets @ 0.97 & 0.9625 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.989 look for further upside with 0.9985 & 1.0075 as targets.

Comment: The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 0.989.
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GOLD (SPOT) INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 1640.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1640 with 1585 & 1560 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1640 will call for a rebound towards 1670 & 1690.

Comment: The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 1640.
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CRUDE OIL (NOV 11) INTRADAY: KEY ST RESISTANCE AT 82.65
Pivot: 82.65

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 82.65 with 80 & 79.2 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 82.65 will call for a rebound towards 84.75 & 85.8.

Comment: The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 82.65.

تحلیل جفت ارزها - 28th Sep


PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 28 SEPTEMBER 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGOLDCRUDE OIL
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD INTRADAY: KEY ST RESISTANCE AT 1.367
Pivot: 1.3670.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1.367 with 1.3475 & 1.3415 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.367 will call for a rebound towards 1.375 & 1.38.

Comment: The RSI is breaking below a rising trend line, the pair remains capped by a MT declining trend line and is still under pressure.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish
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GBP/USD INTRADAY: THE UPSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 1.5600.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1.56 with 1.57 & 1.575 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1.56 will open the way to 1.553 & 1.5475.

Comment: The pair should post a rebound on its support as the RSI is turning up.
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USD/JPY INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE.
Pivot: 76.70.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 76.7 with 76.4 & 76.25 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 76.7 will call for a rebound towards 76.9 & 77.1.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.
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AUD/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE.
Pivot: 0.9925

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.9925 with targets @ 0.9825 & 0.975 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.9925 look for further upside with 1 & 1.0075 as targets.

Comment: The pair is challenging its support, the RSI is mixed to bearish.
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GOLD (SPOT) INTRADAY: CAUTION.
Pivot: 1624.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1624 with 1672 & 1690 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1624 will call for 1585 & 1530.

Comment: The RSI is mixed and calls for caution.
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CRUDE OIL (NOV 11) INTRADAY: THE BIAS REMAINS BULLISH.
Pivot: 81.10

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 81.1 with targets @ 84.75 & 85.8.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 81.1 will call for a slide towards 79.2 & 77.5.

Comment: Intraday support around 81.1