تحلیل جفت ارزها - 12th Sep سری دوم


PRE US OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 12 SEPTEMBER 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGOLDCRUDE OIL
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD INTRADAY: KEY RESISTANCE AT 1.365.
Pivot: 1.365

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.365 with targets @ 1.35 & 1.341 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.365 look for further upside with 1.372 & 1.3785 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
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GBP/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE.
Pivot: 1.59

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.59 with targets @ 1.579 & 1.575 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.59 look for further upside with 1.597 & 1.6 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains in an intraday bearish channel.
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USD/JPY INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 77.3

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 77.3 with targets @ 76.7 & 76.4 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 77.3 look for further upside with 77.45 & 77.65 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken below an ascending channel support.
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AUD/USD INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 1.0385

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.0385 with targets @ 1.02 & 1.017 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.0385 look for further upside with 1.047 & 1.0515 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.
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GOLD (SPOT) INTRADAY: KEY ST RESISTANCE AT 1870
Pivot: 1870.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1870 with 1825 & 1795 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1870 will call for 1886 & 1900.

Comment: The RSI has just struck against its neutrality area at 50% and is reversing down.
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CRUDE OIL (OCT 11) INTRADAY: CONTINUATION OF THE REBOUND.
Pivot: 85.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 85 with 86.7 & 87.5 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 85 will call for a slide towards 84.4 & 83.5.

Comment: The RSI is posting a bearish divergence (not confirmed yet).

تحلیل جفت ارزها - 12th Sep


PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 12 SEPTEMBER 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGOLDCRUDE OIL
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 1.3650.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.364 with 1.341 & 1.338 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1.365 will open the way to 1.372 & 1.3785.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a declining trend line, the pair stands below its new resistance and remains under pressure.

Trend: ST Ltd Downside; MT Range
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GBP/USD INTRADAY: KEY ST RESISTANCE AT 1.59
Pivot: 1.5900.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.589 with 1.581 & 1.575 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.59 will call for a rebound towards 1.597 & 1.6.

Comment: The pair remains capped by a key declining trend line and in an intraday bearish channel.
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USD/JPY INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 77.45.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 77.35 with 76.7 & 76.4 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 77.45 will call for a rebound towards 77.65 & 77.9.

Comment: The pair has broken below an ascending channel support.
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AUD/USD INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 1.0425

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.0425 with targets @ 1.03 & 1.0285 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.0425 look for further upside with 1.0465 & 1.0485 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.
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GOLD (SPOT) INTRADAY: KEY ST RESISTANCE AT 1870
Pivot: 1870.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1870 with targets @ 1825 & 1795.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1870 will call for 1886 & 1900.

Comment: The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 1870.
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CRUDE OIL (OCT 11) INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 86.35

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 86.35 with 85 & 84.4 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 86.35 will call for a rebound towards 88.25 & 89.4.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.

تحلیل جفت ارزها - 9th Sep


PRE US OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 09 SEPTEMBER 2011
EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYAUD/USDGOLDCRUDE OIL
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE.
Pivot: 1.3935

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.3935 with targets @ 1.375 & 1.3695 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.3935 look for further upside with 1.397 & 1.402 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken below its support and remains on the downside as the RSI is badly directed.
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GBP/USD INTRADAY: CAPPED BY A NEGATIVE TREND LINE.
Pivot: 1.6025

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.6025 with targets @ 1.5915 & 1.5875 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.6025 look for further upside with 1.6075 & 1.614 as targets.

Comment: The pair has struck against its declining trend line and remains on the downside.
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USD/JPY INTRADAY: THE UPSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 77.3

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 77.3 with targets @ 77.7 & 77.85 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 77.3 look for further downside with 77.05 & 76.8 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands above its new support and remains on the upside.
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AUD/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE.
Pivot: 1.06

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.06 with targets @ 1.0525 & 1.048 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.06 look for further upside with 1.064 & 1.066 as targets.

Comment: The RSI calls for a new downleg.
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GOLD (SPOT) INTRADAY: KEY ST RESISTANCE AT 1886
Pivot: 1886.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1886 with targets @ 1810 & 1795.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1886 will open the way to 1900 & 1920.

Comment: The immediate trend remains down and the momentum is strong.
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CRUDE OIL (OCT 11) INTRADAY: THE BIAS REMAINS BULLISH.
Pivot: 87.70

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 87.7 with 89.4 & 90.5 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 87.7 will call for 86.6 & 85.5.

Comment: A bullish flag is taking place which advocates for further upside.